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Deforestation and Peak Food

December 27th, 2007 by admin

The removal of trees to allow the land to be used for other purposes (such as the growing of arable crops or pasture) has been taking place for many thousands of years, with steady removal going on in Europe and the US over the last few hundred years.

However, it is the extremely rapid destruction of mature tropical rain forests that is now causing such concern. It is estimated that about half of the tropical rainforests that once existed have gone, with the greatest loss in Southeast Asia. Now, massive areas are being lost in central and south America, Indonesia, Nigeria and other parts of Africa.

In the past, slash and burn by shifting cultivators was often done on a small enough scale to be sustainable because the forest could recover; but now massive areas are cleared and the nutrient-poor soils quickly become exhausted and eroded after just a few years of arable cropping. Often the local climate is affected, causing damage to the remaining forest.

So far as Peak Food goes, deforestation is a major cause of the enhanced greenhouse effect as the decay and burning of wood releases stored carbon back to the atmosphere. We are now seeing droughts and floods reducing crop production in various parts of the world.

But the use of these forests is not adding much to food production. Besides the fact that in many cases the land is often abandoned after the nutrients have been used up, much rainforest is now being destroyed not to produce food but for biofuel. Many millions of acres are going into oil palm for biodiesel or sugar cane for ethenol. These products are coming to Europe to help in the reduction of CO2 emissions, but some experts say that these fuels will never reduce emissions enough to make up for the emissions produced when the forests were burnt.

Posted in Competition from Biofuels | No Comments »

Perfect Storm threatens Food Supplies

December 20th, 2007 by admin

Speaking in Berlin on Wedensday, Josette Sheeran, head of the UN World food programme, said that rising food prices, a shortfall of stock and the effects of climate change pose a serious triple threat to the world’s poor.

She explained that the price the agency had to pay for its food procurement had shot up in the last 5 years, especially in the last 8 months. She said, “It affects us and our ability to reach people at the same time that the world’s most vulnerable, those making a- dollar- a-day or less, are being priced out of the food market.”

A very important part of her speech was when she said, “We need new strategies to deal with problems that… as of a year ago were not really predicted to be long-term trends, such as the rise in food prices. We now know that experts predict this to be a long-term trend.”

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Fertiliser and Peak Food

December 13th, 2007 by admin

In the last 5 months the price of nitrogen fertiliser has gone from £145/tonne to £230/tonne with similar increases for phosphate and potash. This is partly due to increased demand in response to higher grain prices as a slightly larger area is planted and the need to optimise yields is greater. Also production of some fertilisers especially phosphate cannot easily be increased.

Nitrogen fertiliser production is dependent on fossil fuels, mainly natural gas which is of course finite and must at some time become less available. In western Europe fertiliser plants using north sea gas are closing  down, and we are slowly becoming dependent on nitrogen that is made using Russian natural gas, and more fertiliser is being imported from eastern Europe.  The present price increases should remind us that we have largely abandoned the age old practices of maintaining soil fertility by recycling nutrients back to the soil through the application of animal and human waste, and also we now tend to grow less leguminous crops which fix nitrogen from the air.

In general, grain farmers in the west will still be able to afford fertiliser as they are now getting better prices for grain, but it will be difficult for grassland farmers.

The other losers are the world’s poorer countries who need to import oil, fertiliser and some food. All these are now much more expensive and they may have no alternative but to import less, leading to even more hungry people.

Posted in Threats to Food Supply | 1 Comment »

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