April 30th, 2007 by John
In the West we are now totally dependent on oil and natural gas for the production and distribution of food. As our own supplies of oil and gas are now declining, we are becoming more dependent on imports for our oil and gas and therefore for our food.
Islamic militants, waging war on the West, will want to disrupt these supplies while at the same time undermining certain oil rich regimes.
The Yorkshire Post on April 28th 2007 reported, “Saudi police have arrested 172 Islamic militants, some of whom trained abroad as pilots so they could use aircraft to attack the country’s oilfields. The ministry issued a statememt saying the detainees were planning to carry out suicide attacks against ‘public figures, oil facilities, refineries….and military zones’ -some of which were outside the kingdom. Interior Ministry spokesman Brig. Mansour al-Turki said, ‘They had reached an advanced stage of readiness and what remained was only to set the zero hour for their attacks. They had the personnel, the money, the arms.”
In my opinion it is only a matter of time before some of these attacks are successful. Should anything be done?
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The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has produced a series of reports on the effects of climate change to come.    One report says, “By 2020, between 75 and 250 million people (in Africa) are projected to be exposed to an increase of water stress due to climate change.” The Independent newspaper  stated, “….. some of the projected changes are horrifying - and only just around the corner.”Â
African agricultural production is projected to be “severely compromised by climate variability and change,” with decreases likely in the area suitable for agriculture, the length of the growing season and yield potential. Â In some countries, yields from rain-fed agriculture could be reduced by up to 20% by 2020.
Asia is not far behind, with many negative impacts expected. They include a water “double whammy” as Himalayan glaciers irreversibly melt, first  increasing flooding in glacier-fed rivers from the meltwater, then decreasing water resources as the glaciers disappear.
 Asian coastal areas, especially the big cities in the seven “mega-deltas” from India’s Ganges to China’s Yangtze, will be at greatly increased risk of flooding, with an associated increase in death due to diarrhoeal disease, while by 2050, crop yields in central and south Asia may drop by 30%.
In Latin America, water supplies available for human consumption are predicted to be “significantly affected” by changes in rainfall patterns and the disapearance of Andean glaciers. Parts of the Amazon rainforest are likely to turn into semi-arid savannah.